August 2018

Allocation Percentages for August 2018
F Fund

0%

C Fund

18%

S Fund

82%

I Fund

0%

We are seeing continued strength in the economy and surprisingly technology stocks, but not social media. A GDP of 4.1% and revised numbers for the first quarter reveal we are still in a very strong position. Many technical investors are still very bearish and there are many doubts the market and the economy can continue its positive direction. From the IS-LM-FE model of economics, we are seeing a very good example of how our economy is expanding, while the employment drops and the money supply is decreased through interest changes. What has declined to makes the conditions possible is the US savings rate has declined from ~6% in 2016 to 3% today. Less people saving, or more accurately, more people spending, is driving the economy. From this deduction, the Fed will continue to raise interest rates, impacting companies trying to secure debt at the previously enjoyed low interest rates. This will ultimately slow growth, but not in the near term. Encouraging news is the lack of any real impact on the "Tariff Wars" and the ability to negotiate reduced tariff for US goods overseas, impacting many of the stocks in the S Fund in a positive way. They will have more markets open to them, and their raw materials will probably not increase as much as the pessimists feared. My distribution summary reflects these trends. Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2025-04-29 27.0320 13.9021 50.6007 15.2304 57.7904 15.8483 34.7994 17.4179 17.4158 17.4136 10.3209 19.0288 20.1062 88.2075 81.8246 45.5389
2025-04-28 26.9910 13.8801 50.4439 15.1787 57.5778 15.7861 34.6549 17.3341 17.3320 17.3299 10.2712 19.0266 20.0564 87.6983 81.3156 45.4041
Daily Change 0.15%0.16%0.31%0.34%0.37%0.39%0.42%0.48%0.48%0.48%0.48%0.01%0.25%0.58%0.63%0.3%
Month to Date 0.63%0.64%0.84%0.87%0.88%0.89%0.9%0.89%0.89%0.89%0.89%0.34%0.44%-0.83%-0.33%3.87%
Year to Date 1.09%1.02%0.31%0.17%0.01%-0.13%-0.28%-0.94%-0.94%-0.94%-0.92%1.46%3.22%-5.08%-9.24%8.69%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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