September 2019

Allocation Percentages for September 2019
F Fund

0%

C Fund

100%

S Fund

0%

I Fund

0%

August is traditionally a very slow month for the stock markets with lower volatility and lower volume. This August did not follow this pattern. I have to say we are in very unsettled waters, and as I have said in my previous posts, we will see a flat market, month to month, for the rest of the year. We just had violent swings this month and yet the C Fund was only down 1.59%. Obviously there was a rush to the F Fund (the bonds fund) as a safe haven to preserve capital, and it garnered a 2.6% return, but a simple move of the C Fund can outperform that return very easily. However, with all the uncertainty, my calculations are getting very close to putting me in the F Fund. I suspect the traders who are more sensitive to the daily stock market movements have already switched a portion of their portfolio to bonds, driving the bond yield inversion. Professionals who try to forecast recessions use this indicator as a recession gauge, but it is by no means an exact science. So I am investing in the C Fund at 100% for September. As I stated last month, I still feel the risk of a monthly loss outweighs the possible gain of 1% or so on a monthly basis. Added to this assessment now, I think the possible gain incurred in a resolution of the trade war and the upcoming Brexit (and possibly another Fed cut?) could provide additional stimulus to the market. I do not want to miss out on these gains. I'm investing for the long term and short-lived downward fluctuations are to be expected. Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2025-04-29 27.0320 13.9021 50.6007 15.2304 57.7904 15.8483 34.7994 17.4179 17.4158 17.4136 10.3209 19.0288 20.1062 88.2075 81.8246 45.5389
2025-04-28 26.9910 13.8801 50.4439 15.1787 57.5778 15.7861 34.6549 17.3341 17.3320 17.3299 10.2712 19.0266 20.0564 87.6983 81.3156 45.4041
Daily Change 0.15%0.16%0.31%0.34%0.37%0.39%0.42%0.48%0.48%0.48%0.48%0.01%0.25%0.58%0.63%0.3%
Month to Date 0.63%0.64%0.84%0.87%0.88%0.89%0.9%0.89%0.89%0.89%0.89%0.34%0.44%-0.83%-0.33%3.87%
Year to Date 1.09%1.02%0.31%0.17%0.01%-0.13%-0.28%-0.94%-0.94%-0.94%-0.92%1.46%3.22%-5.08%-9.24%8.69%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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