Fund	Tracks / index	Share price	Prior price	Day change
F · F Fund Fixed Income Index Investment Fund	Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index	20.8085	20.7483	+0.29%
C · C Fund Common Stock Index Investment Fund	S&P 500 Index	122.3804	124.6356	-1.81%
S · S Fund Small Cap Stock Index Investment Fund	Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index	111.6279	114.0007	-2.08%
I · I Fund International Stock Index Investment Fund	International equities (historically MSCI EAFE; broader ex-U.S. indexes may apply)	62.7535	63.7168	-1.51%

Fund

Tracks / index

Share price

Prior price

Day change

F · F Fund

Fixed Income Index Investment Fund

Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index

20.8085

20.7483

+0.29%

C · C Fund

Common Stock Index Investment Fund

S&P 500 Index

122.3804

124.6356

-1.81%

S · S Fund

Small Cap Stock Index Investment Fund

Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index

111.6279

114.0007

-2.08%

I · I Fund

International Stock Index Investment Fund

International equities (historically MSCI EAFE; broader ex-U.S. indexes may apply)

62.7535

63.7168

-1.51%

Monthly allocation

Keep a Wary Eye on the Horizon

July 31, 2024 · Monthly Allocation

Allocation percentages for August 2024

F Fund 0%

C Fund 100%

S Fund 0%

I Fund 0%

Watching Lex Fridman interview Elon Musk makes me wonder if we are living in a simulation. This month has seen two major events. The assassination attempt on former President Trump and the departure of President Biden from the presidential race. I wrote in early 2024 that the party candidates appeared set, and we would see some stability.

How wrong I was.

Thankfully for investors neither of these two events was catastrophic, I do of course feel for the man that was killed and the two wounded men.

Other international events could also pose problems in the near term. I think most people have put the Russo-Ukraine war in the back of their minds (except for the first delivery of F-16s), but events in Israel, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran have the potential to create additional issues across the Middle East. The most critical issue of concern for me as an investor is the escalation of the attacks in the Red Sea moving to other parts of the Middle East. Should the Suez Canal or the Strait of Hormuz become threatened, we could see a global supply chain crisis.

As an investor, I cannot take stability for granted ever again. We have the Democratic Party convention in August which could prove to be disruptive and campaign events for Trump will continue until election day. As mentioned above, I think parts of the world are watching what Iran does in retaliation for the assassination of the Hamas leader in Tehran. I’m not quite to the point of recommending the F Fund, but I think I am close-I might shift in September. We have had an incredible year, and even with the crazy events we saw positive returns across all funds. Unfortunately, the C Fund was the laggard for the month, but for the year it is still returning an amazing 16.67%.

Aside from my potential shift to the F Fund in September, I am somewhat positive on the stock market in September. The Federal Reserve continues to remain hawkish on their efforts to fight inflation. They seem dedicated to get it low and make sure it stays low. However, just today they opened the door to a rate cut in September. I would expect the markets to react positively tomorrow. I'm staying in the C Fund for August.

Keep a wary eye on the horizon and keep investing!

TSP Coach

Last 12 month TSP returns

G Fund

F Fund

C Fund

S Fund

I Fund

80% C / 20% S

TSP Coach

TSP fund quotes

Latest stored share prices for context with this post. Scroll sideways on small screens.

Date	L Income	L 2030	L 2035	L 2040	L 2045	L 2050	L 2055	L 2060	L 2065	L 2070	L 2075	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund
2026-10-30	31.0162	62.9955	19.3122	74.3535	20.6470	45.9113	24.0374	24.0342	24.0307	14.2422	12.4406	20.3495	20.8085	122.3804	111.6279	62.7535
2026-10-29	31.1583	63.5575	19.5311	75.2739	20.9212	46.5631	24.4586	24.4553	24.4517	14.4917	12.6585	20.3434	20.7483	124.6356	114.0007	63.7168
Daily Change	-0.46%	-0.88%	-1.12%	-1.22%	-1.31%	-1.4%	-1.72%	-1.72%	-1.72%	-1.72%	-1.72%	0.03%	0.29%	-1.81%	-2.08%	-1.51%
Month to Date	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Year to Date	6.06%	8.43%	9.24%	9.69%	10.08%	10.49%	12.17%	12.17%	12.17%	12.16%	12.16%	3.89%	-0.35%	11.75%	11.17%	13.09%
Details	L Income	L 2030	L 2035	L 2040	L 2045	L 2050	L 2055	L 2060	L 2065	L 2070	L 2075	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund

Year¹	TSP Coach
2005	2.66%
2006	2.46%
2007	2.82%
2008	4.10%
2009	1.85%
2010	6.00%
2011	5.89%
2012	1.89%
2013	2.71%
2014	2.50%
2015	3.69%
2016	2.91%
2017	0.90%
2018	4.38%
2019	3.76%
2020	8.01%
2021	3.02%
2022	6.07%
2023	4.62%
2024	2.84%
2025	2.98%
2026	4.75%
As of:	10/30/2026

L Income	L 2030	L 2035	L 2040	L 2045	L 2050	L 2055	L 2060	L 2065	L 2070	L 2075	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund
											0.04%	0.84%	2.16%	3.32%	2.77%
0.37%	1.48%		1.70%								0.04%	0.73%	1.56%	3.06%	2.60%
0.49%	1.90%		2.16%								0.05%	0.73%	2.68%	3.00%	2.77%
1.29%	4.72%		5.40%								0.05%	1.69%	5.82%	7.61%	7.47%
1.36%	4.78%		5.45%								0.03%	0.92%	6.16%	7.12%	7.65%
1.07%	3.91%		4.49%								0.04%	0.80%	5.32%	6.07%	6.56%
0.95%	3.38%		3.89%								0.04%	0.64%	4.41%	6.00%	5.43%
0.65%	2.30%		2.64%								0.01%	0.56%	2.91%	3.44%	4.59%
0.51%	1.68%		1.94%								0.03%	0.88%	2.35%	2.89%	3.29%
0.49%	1.61%		1.87%								0.01%	0.63%	2.28%	3.48%	2.71%
0.71%	2.36%		2.72%								0.02%	0.82%	3.78%	3.58%	4.11%
0.59%	1.96%		2.29%								0.02%	1.03%	2.84%	4.47%	3.47%
0.16%	0.50%		0.59%								0.01%	0.43%	1.09%	1.42%	1.17%
0.77%	2.34%		2.79%								0.02%	0.86%	4.24%	4.92%	3.45%
0.69%	2.06%		2.47%								0.03%	0.95%	3.56%	4.68%	3.16%
1.63%	4.54%		5.43%								0.03%	0.95%	7.18%	10.19%	7.30%
0.62%	1.61%	1.76%	1.91%	2.05%	2.18%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%			0.02%	0.79%	3.05%	3.29%	2.76%
1.59%	3.79%	4.16%	4.52%	4.83%	5.13%	6.05%	6.05%	6.06%			0.07%	2.34%	6.21%	6.87%	6.42%
1.21%	2.76%	3.04%	3.31%	3.54%	3.76%	4.39%	4.39%	4.39%			0.04%	2.35%	4.07%	6.44%	4.60%
0.83%	1.82%	2.00%	2.17%	2.32%	2.46%	2.89%	2.89%	2.89%	2.88%		0.02%	1.64%	2.95%	5.13%	2.98%
0.67%	1.52%	1.67%	1.82%	1.95%	2.08%	2.52%	2.52%	2.52%	2.52%	1.10%	0.01%	0.79%	3.04%	4.29%	1.91%
1.18%	2.36%	2.79%	3.04%	3.25%	3.47%	4.17%	4.17%	4.17%	4.17%	4.17%	0.04%	1.44%	4.00%	4.36%	5.22%
¹Life starting dates for TSP funds are August 31, 2004. TSP Coach strategy has been in use since August 2004.

Year	TSP Coach
2005	10.98%
2006	23.57%
2007	10.68%
2008	-8.50%
2009	16.83%
2010	25.23%
2011	-1.61%
2012	27.39%
2013	34.94%
2014	12.67%
2015	1.56%
2016	5.37%
2017	17.89%
2018	6.56%
2019	29.24%
2020	37.47%
2021	17.60%
2022	-15.35%
2023	22.25%
2024	13.28%
CAGR	13.57%
CAGR L10Y	12.48%
CAGR L5Y	6.63%
CAGR L3Y	11.46%
As of: 01/01/2025

TSP X1^	TSP X2^	TSP Z*	TSP V*	TSP U*	TSP T*	TSP R*^	TSP Q	TSP P*
6.10%	12.90%	21.79%				19.24%	5.63%	8.54%
10.70%	22.10%	15.25%		10.88%	27.96%	21.47%	15.22%	16.11%
4.20%	2.10%	9.32%		5.33%	21.32%	16.27%	7.60%	5.82%
-6.10%	-15.40%	-7.56%	-5.53%	-10.21%	-6.14%	10.59%	2.64%	-1.87%
8.60%	19.60%	23.30%	20.94%	4.98%	6.62%	36.87%	10.74%	24.61%
7.50%	20.40%	14.54%	29.18%	4.15%	35.16%	15.63%	11.25%	22.86%
4.30%	-0.70%	5.07%	8.44%	4.66%	-10.27%	5.54%	2.63%	15.01%
7.40%	12.00%	-4.60%	13.13%	10.88%	20.62%	-2.15%	6.49%	16.41%
10.30%	17.80%	12.54%	15.39%	18.32%	28.56%	15.42%	15.50%	20.72%
3.80%	5.00%	22.73%	12.91%	10.01%	11.98%	14.69%	8.75%	2.59%
1.20%	40.00%	13.07%	11.82%	2.55%	7.84%	10.39%	-6.93%	0.71%
3.60%	6.10%	4.71%	1.66%	7.79%	5.77%	4.73%	5.75%	10.75%
8.50%	15.00%	16.51%	16.51%	11.79%	8.19%	16.84%	12.46%	14.79%
-2.30%	-6.20%	-0.17%	-2.50%	-3.59%	4.36%	2.26%	-0.26%	-7.61%
11.50%	21.90%	21.42%	0.80%	13.37%	15.48%	20.51%	4.41%	28.31%
7.44%	8.36%		8.20%	23.48%	-1.87%	17.18%	10.16%
8.24%	15.12%		17.51%	17.46%	12.06%	11.38%	5.09%
-4.78%	-10.86%		-30.80%	38.00%	1.03%	-9.66%	-5.45%
11.70%	16.77%		10.01%	12.28%	29.00%	10.12%	10.03%
11.88%	16.83%		14.31%	13.97%	23.72%	25.49%	10.10%
5.56%	10.21%	7.97%	7.03%	9.36%	11.38%	12.70%	6.43%	8.43%
5.42%	7.79%	3.99%	2.56%	12.93%	9.35%	9.41%	5.09%	4.19%
5.19%	6.96%		0.45%	15.71%	12.56%	6.82%	3.78%
7.71%	10.91%		7.94%	8.57%	16.86%	11.38%	6.60%

Year	TSP Coach
Initial	$10,000
2005	$11,038
2006	$13,580
2007	$14,970
2008	$13,638
2009	$15,873
2010	$19,817
2011	$19,438
2012	$24,703
2013	$33,274
2014	$37,429
2015	$37,953
2016	$39,931
2017	$47,015
2018	$50,039
2019	$64,611
2020	$88,760
2021	$104,322
2022	$88,249
2023	$107,824
2024	$122,083
CAGR	13.33%
CAGR L10Y	12.39%
CAGR L5Y	6.58%
CAGR L3Y	11.42%
As of: 01/01/2025

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Keep a Wary Eye on the Horizon

Last 12 month TSP returns

TSP fund quotes

Allocation history

TSP X1^	TSP X2^	TSP Z*	TSP V*	TSP U*	TSP T*	TSP R*^	TSP Q	TSP P*
$10,000	$10,000	$10,000				$10,000	$10,000	$10,000
$10,460	$11,140	$11,920		$11,038	$11,038	$11,665	$10,414	$10,755
$11,429	$13,452	$13,478		$12,040	$13,945	$13,909	$11,850	$12,389
$11,759	$13,585	$14,474	$14,970	$12,483	$16,739	$15,913	$12,602	$13,011
$10,892	$11,343	$13,121	$13,942	$11,009	$15,533	$17,339	$12,785	$12,668
$11,679	$13,416	$15,918	$16,662	$11,358	$16,382	$23,472	$14,009	$15,687
$12,405	$16,003	$17,973	$21,324	$11,631	$21,963	$26,881	$15,437	$19,174
$12,788	$15,741	$18,625	$22,923	$11,974	$19,528	$28,111	$15,694	$21,953
$13,585	$17,480	$17,509	$25,733	$13,078	$23,376	$27,247	$16,563	$25,457
$14,834	$20,441	$19,445	$29,493	$15,274	$29,873	$31,189	$18,981	$30,632
$15,248	$21,313	$23,605	$33,101	$16,604	$33,273	$35,511	$20,493	$31,327
$15,281	$29,689	$26,431	$36,813	$16,829	$35,702	$38,941	$18,924	$31,450
$15,681	$31,350	$27,416	$37,225	$17,941	$37,583	$40,523	$19,863	$34,732
$16,864	$35,902	$31,683	$43,170	$19,857	$40,482	$47,088	$22,189	$39,770
$16,326	$33,526	$31,370	$41,891	$18,945	$42,068	$47,893	$21,982	$36,644
$18,054	$40,719	$37,830	$42,026	$21,279	$48,402	$57,456	$22,803
$19,246	$43,971		$45,272	$26,076	$47,317	$67,068	$24,971
$20,682	$50,471		$52,999	$30,430	$52,845	$74,440	$26,093
$19,543	$44,839		$36,476	$41,795	$53,210	$66,990	$24,521
$21,681	$52,207		$39,927	$46,728	$68,462	$73,510	$26,832
$24,106	$60,845		$45,440	$53,057	$84,522	$91,988	$29,393
4.50%	9.45%		6.36%	8.17%	10.71%	11.73%	5.54%
4.66%	7.44%		2.13%	12.17%	9.00%	8.98%	4.50%
4.61%	6.71%		0.07%	15.27%	12.30%	6.52%	3.31%
7.24%	10.71%		7.60%	8.28%	16.68%	11.15%	6.23%