May 2021

Allocation Percentages for May 2021
F Fund

0%

C Fund

5%

S Fund

95%

I Fund

0%

Welcome to May and another solid month for TSP Returns. This year has been particularly difficult to make sense of the market, our economy, and the right investment strategy. We continue to see an elevated risk acceptance from all corners of the market, as evidenced by the almost complete aversion to bonds. Although the F Fund was positive this month, the average monthly return for the F Fund over the last 12 months was basically 0%. This effectively means there is no confidence in bonds as a low risk asset. I think this hinges mainly on two significant trends. - First, government spending and stimulus packages have infused the market with cash and direct investments. When cash is readily available, taking on debt is not as attractive. - Second, inflation is present, and while there is a dispute over how significant or disruptive it may be, bonds either need to return what the real inflation rate is or investors will not invest in them. I started the year with a prediction that I do not think we will see a year like 2020 in terms of huge returns-we are already seeing a year with huge returns. Warning signals in February and March on the over-valuation of stocks sent me to the F Fund in anticipation of a stock market crash, but that obviously did not occur. We did see a stabilization for about 6 weeks during those 2 months, but no major correction. I'm now not so sure we will see a major correction, especially since the economy is recovering and we are likely to see inflation above expectations. Both of these trends will quite possibly result in more investment in the stock market vice bonds. Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2025-04-29 27.0320 13.9021 50.6007 15.2304 57.7904 15.8483 34.7994 17.4179 17.4158 17.4136 10.3209 19.0288 20.1062 88.2075 81.8246 45.5389
2025-04-28 26.9910 13.8801 50.4439 15.1787 57.5778 15.7861 34.6549 17.3341 17.3320 17.3299 10.2712 19.0266 20.0564 87.6983 81.3156 45.4041
Daily Change 0.15%0.16%0.31%0.34%0.37%0.39%0.42%0.48%0.48%0.48%0.48%0.01%0.25%0.58%0.63%0.3%
Month to Date 0.63%0.64%0.84%0.87%0.88%0.89%0.9%0.89%0.89%0.89%0.89%0.34%0.44%-0.83%-0.33%3.87%
Year to Date 1.09%1.02%0.31%0.17%0.01%-0.13%-0.28%-0.94%-0.94%-0.94%-0.92%1.46%3.22%-5.08%-9.24%8.69%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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