May 2021

Allocation Percentages for May 2021
F Fund

0%

C Fund

5%

S Fund

95%

I Fund

0%

Welcome to May and another solid month for TSP Returns. This year has been particularly difficult to make sense of the market, our economy, and the right investment strategy. We continue to see an elevated risk acceptance from all corners of the market, as evidenced by the almost complete aversion to bonds. Although the F Fund was positive this month, the average monthly return for the F Fund over the last 12 months was basically 0%. This effectively means there is no confidence in bonds as a low risk asset. I think this hinges mainly on two significant trends. - First, government spending and stimulus packages have infused the market with cash and direct investments. When cash is readily available, taking on debt is not as attractive. - Second, inflation is present, and while there is a dispute over how significant or disruptive it may be, bonds either need to return what the real inflation rate is or investors will not invest in them. I started the year with a prediction that I do not think we will see a year like 2020 in terms of huge returns-we are already seeing a year with huge returns. Warning signals in February and March on the over-valuation of stocks sent me to the F Fund in anticipation of a stock market crash, but that obviously did not occur. We did see a stabilization for about 6 weeks during those 2 months, but no major correction. I'm now not so sure we will see a major correction, especially since the economy is recovering and we are likely to see inflation above expectations. Both of these trends will quite possibly result in more investment in the stock market vice bonds. Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2025-06-13 27.6479 14.2316 52.9024 15.9824 60.8723 16.7473 36.8940 18.6869 18.6846 18.6821 11.0726 19.1308 20.0012 95.0040 88.2485 48.5492
2025-06-12 27.7407 14.2818 53.2972 16.1137 61.4173 16.9078 37.2703 18.9127 18.9104 18.9080 11.2064 19.1284 20.0748 96.0737 89.7781 49.1157
Daily Change -0.33%-0.35%-0.74%-0.81%-0.89%-0.95%-1.01%-1.19%-1.19%-1.19%-1.19%0.01%-0.37%-1.11%-1.7%-1.15%
Month to Date 0.44%0.46%0.79%0.85%0.91%0.96%1.01%1.18%1.18%1.19%1.19%0.16%0.24%1.17%1.05%1.28%
Year to Date 3.39%3.42%4.87%5.11%5.35%5.54%5.72%6.28%6.28%6.28%6.29%2.01%2.69%2.23%-2.11%15.88%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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