October 2021

Allocation Percentages for October 2021
F Fund

0%

C Fund

67%

S Fund

33%

I Fund

0%

Well, that was a rough month. No safe harbor for any investments in the TSP portfolio. I have been warning since January 2021 inflation was coming. Despite the PR campaign to say it was not sticky, it seems to have stuck. We have been over 5% since May, and we are at 5.3% as of the last monthly reporting. Translation, if you are not earning over 5.3% in returns, you are making negative returns. This makes the G and the F Fund substantially negative for the year and the real returns for the C and S look tamer at 10.6% and 6.3%, respectively. As of this writing, our elected representatives have approved the continuing resolution to keep our government running, something that affects us all, and they will vote later tonight on the infrastructure bill. The infrastructure bill initially looked like it had support when proposed months ago, but the increase to $3.5T seems untenable. Undoubtably, even the $1.5T bill will unleash a massive amount of artificial stimulus that will spur on the economy, but will also add to our debt and increase inflation even more. This type of spending and inflation, if coupled with growth, can lead to a stronger economy. However, it could also lead to a quick sugar high, followed by a crash and inflation-otherwise known as stagflation. I still think in the short-term investors will in continue to seek returns higher than inflation, and the only place to do that is in the market itself (outside other creative investment vehicles we do not have access to in the TSP). Long-term, we need a return-to-work policy and a concerted effort to keep inflation at the target 2%. Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2025-04-29 27.0320 13.9021 50.6007 15.2304 57.7904 15.8483 34.7994 17.4179 17.4158 17.4136 10.3209 19.0288 20.1062 88.2075 81.8246 45.5389
2025-04-28 26.9910 13.8801 50.4439 15.1787 57.5778 15.7861 34.6549 17.3341 17.3320 17.3299 10.2712 19.0266 20.0564 87.6983 81.3156 45.4041
Daily Change 0.15%0.16%0.31%0.34%0.37%0.39%0.42%0.48%0.48%0.48%0.48%0.01%0.25%0.58%0.63%0.3%
Month to Date 0.63%0.64%0.84%0.87%0.88%0.89%0.9%0.89%0.89%0.89%0.89%0.34%0.44%-0.83%-0.33%3.87%
Year to Date 1.09%1.02%0.31%0.17%0.01%-0.13%-0.28%-0.94%-0.94%-0.94%-0.92%1.46%3.22%-5.08%-9.24%8.69%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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