Fund	Tracks / index	Share price	Prior price	Day change
F · F Fund Fixed Income Index Investment Fund	Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index	20.7644	20.8240	-0.29%
C · C Fund Common Stock Index Investment Fund	S&P 500 Index	120.6031	119.7571	+0.71%
S · S Fund Small Cap Stock Index Investment Fund	Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index	113.9868	114.4461	-0.40%
I · I Fund International Stock Index Investment Fund	International equities (historically MSCI EAFE; broader ex-U.S. indexes may apply)	64.0123	63.6309	+0.60%

Fund

Tracks / index

Share price

Prior price

Day change

F · F Fund

Fixed Income Index Investment Fund

Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index

20.7644

20.8240

-0.29%

C · C Fund

Common Stock Index Investment Fund

S&P 500 Index

120.6031

119.7571

+0.71%

S · S Fund

Small Cap Stock Index Investment Fund

Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index

113.9868

114.4461

-0.40%

I · I Fund

International Stock Index Investment Fund

International equities (historically MSCI EAFE; broader ex-U.S. indexes may apply)

64.0123

63.6309

+0.60%

Monthly allocation

Inflation Still Impacting the Market - March Allocation

March 01, 2023 · Monthly Allocation

Allocation percentages for March 2023

F Fund 0%

C Fund 0%

S Fund 0%

I Fund 100%

Welcome to March! We had a down month across the board with a rocky final trading day. However, we are still positive for the year, and months where we are down 1-3% are not uncommon and are just a snapshot in time. We could very easily have a strong day tomorrow, so I strive to understand the larger picture beyond daily, weekly, or even monthly movements.

The driving force for this month’s returns and today’s activity has been a multi-month and, dare I say it, a multi-year problem, inflation. Our inflation numbers are coming in higher than expected and they are coupled with strong job numbers. The Federal Reserve has an edict to keep inflation low and while also working to maintain full employment. For those of you familiar with the IS-LM-FE model, a strong job market means there is still some slack in the economy which can allow us to raise interest rates a bit more to bring down inflation.

This action is what the market saw today. The market now thinks another 0.25% increase in the Federal Reserve interest rate will be added this year, for a total of 3 or 0.75% total, and any expect rate cuts have now been completely removed. The result, they hope, is more savings in bonds, less spending using credit, and a slower economy resulting in lower inflation while at the same time not hurting full employment. We will see how this plays out. This also means bonds become more attractive than stocks; hence a lower performance this month.

With a strong job market, we are seeing a strong small cap market as well. It is the leader for the year at over 9%, but I would be foolish to try and chase the returns and “jump on the bandwagon.” Higher interest rates for a longer period will impact smaller companies, and this factor has probably has not been priced in yet. The rest of the year is still uncertain regarding our overall economy, and we are seeing weakness in tech sector jobs and the housing market. The small caps have always been a bit more susceptible sudden surprises, and at this point, my model is showing that inflection point is still too risky to be in the small caps.

I am still 100% in the I Fund.

This of course is not without risk too. The European Central Bank is still trying to control inflation in their area of the world, which represents a sizable portion of the I Fund. They will attempt to control their inflation with raising interest rates without regard for full employment, so I will be monitoring those actions as well, which could change my calculus for next month. Keep investing!

Last 12 month TSP returns

G Fund

F Fund

C Fund

S Fund

I Fund

80% C / 20% S

TSP Coach

TSP fund quotes

Latest stored share prices for context with this post. Scroll sideways on small screens.

Date	L Income	L 2030	L 2035	L 2040	L 2045	L 2050	L 2055	L 2060	L 2065	L 2070	L 2075	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund
2026-07-31	30.7572	62.6825	19.2573	74.2118	20.6242	45.8956	24.0788	24.0756	24.0723	14.2670	12.4622	20.0914	20.7644	120.6031	113.9868	64.0123
2026-07-30	30.7135	62.5106	19.1930	73.9435	20.5446	45.7066	23.9544	23.9513	23.9480	14.1934	12.3979	20.0889	20.8240	119.7571	114.4461	63.6309
Daily Change	0.14%	0.27%	0.34%	0.36%	0.39%	0.41%	0.52%	0.52%	0.52%	0.52%	0.52%	0.01%	-0.29%	0.71%	-0.4%	0.6%
Month to Date	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Year to Date	5.18%	7.89%	8.93%	9.48%	9.96%	10.45%	12.36%	12.36%	12.36%	12.36%	12.36%	2.57%	-0.56%	10.13%	13.52%	15.35%
Details	L Income	L 2030	L 2035	L 2040	L 2045	L 2050	L 2055	L 2060	L 2065	L 2070	L 2075	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund

Year¹	TSP Coach
2005	2.66%
2006	2.46%
2007	2.82%
2008	4.10%
2009	1.85%
2010	6.00%
2011	5.89%
2012	1.89%
2013	2.71%
2014	2.50%
2015	3.69%
2016	2.91%
2017	0.90%
2018	4.38%
2019	3.76%
2020	8.01%
2021	3.02%
2022	6.07%
2023	4.62%
2024	2.84%
2025	2.98%
2026	5.48%
As of:	07/31/2026

L Income	L 2030	L 2035	L 2040	L 2045	L 2050	L 2055	L 2060	L 2065	L 2070	L 2075	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund
											0.04%	0.84%	2.16%	3.32%	2.77%
0.37%	1.48%		1.70%								0.04%	0.73%	1.56%	3.06%	2.60%
0.49%	1.90%		2.16%								0.05%	0.73%	2.68%	3.00%	2.77%
1.29%	4.72%		5.40%								0.05%	1.69%	5.82%	7.61%	7.47%
1.36%	4.78%		5.45%								0.03%	0.92%	6.16%	7.12%	7.65%
1.07%	3.91%		4.49%								0.04%	0.80%	5.32%	6.07%	6.56%
0.95%	3.38%		3.89%								0.04%	0.64%	4.41%	6.00%	5.43%
0.65%	2.30%		2.64%								0.01%	0.56%	2.91%	3.44%	4.59%
0.51%	1.68%		1.94%								0.03%	0.88%	2.35%	2.89%	3.29%
0.49%	1.61%		1.87%								0.01%	0.63%	2.28%	3.48%	2.71%
0.71%	2.36%		2.72%								0.02%	0.82%	3.78%	3.58%	4.11%
0.59%	1.96%		2.29%								0.02%	1.03%	2.84%	4.47%	3.47%
0.16%	0.50%		0.59%								0.01%	0.43%	1.09%	1.42%	1.17%
0.77%	2.34%		2.79%								0.02%	0.86%	4.24%	4.92%	3.45%
0.69%	2.06%		2.47%								0.03%	0.95%	3.56%	4.68%	3.16%
1.63%	4.54%		5.43%								0.03%	0.95%	7.18%	10.19%	7.30%
0.62%	1.61%	1.76%	1.91%	2.05%	2.18%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%			0.02%	0.79%	3.05%	3.29%	2.76%
1.59%	3.79%	4.16%	4.52%	4.83%	5.13%	6.05%	6.05%	6.06%			0.07%	2.34%	6.21%	6.87%	6.42%
1.21%	2.76%	3.04%	3.31%	3.54%	3.76%	4.39%	4.39%	4.39%			0.04%	2.35%	4.07%	6.44%	4.60%
0.83%	1.82%	2.00%	2.17%	2.32%	2.46%	2.89%	2.89%	2.89%	2.88%		0.02%	1.64%	2.95%	5.13%	2.98%
0.67%	1.52%	1.67%	1.82%	1.95%	2.08%	2.52%	2.52%	2.52%	2.52%	1.10%	0.01%	0.79%	3.04%	4.29%	1.91%
1.33%	2.68%	3.15%	3.43%	3.67%	3.91%	4.69%	4.69%	4.69%	4.69%	4.69%	0.02%	1.04%	4.64%	4.73%	5.76%
¹Life starting dates for TSP funds are August 31, 2004. TSP Coach strategy has been in use since August 2004.

Year	TSP Coach
2005	10.98%
2006	23.57%
2007	10.68%
2008	-8.50%
2009	16.83%
2010	25.23%
2011	-1.61%
2012	27.39%
2013	34.94%
2014	12.67%
2015	1.56%
2016	5.37%
2017	17.89%
2018	6.56%
2019	29.24%
2020	37.47%
2021	17.60%
2022	-15.35%
2023	22.25%
2024	13.28%
CAGR	13.57%
CAGR L10Y	12.48%
CAGR L5Y	6.63%
CAGR L3Y	11.46%
As of: 01/01/2025

TSP X1^	TSP X2^	TSP Z*	TSP V*	TSP U*	TSP T*	TSP R*^	TSP Q	TSP P*
6.10%	12.90%	21.79%				19.24%	5.63%	8.54%
10.70%	22.10%	15.25%		10.88%	27.96%	21.47%	15.22%	16.11%
4.20%	2.10%	9.32%		5.33%	21.32%	16.27%	7.60%	5.82%
-6.10%	-15.40%	-7.56%	-5.53%	-10.21%	-6.14%	10.59%	2.64%	-1.87%
8.60%	19.60%	23.30%	20.94%	4.98%	6.62%	36.87%	10.74%	24.61%
7.50%	20.40%	14.54%	29.18%	4.15%	35.16%	15.63%	11.25%	22.86%
4.30%	-0.70%	5.07%	8.44%	4.66%	-10.27%	5.54%	2.63%	15.01%
7.40%	12.00%	-4.60%	13.13%	10.88%	20.62%	-2.15%	6.49%	16.41%
10.30%	17.80%	12.54%	15.39%	18.32%	28.56%	15.42%	15.50%	20.72%
3.80%	5.00%	22.73%	12.91%	10.01%	11.98%	14.69%	8.75%	2.59%
1.20%	40.00%	13.07%	11.82%	2.55%	7.84%	10.39%	-6.93%	0.71%
3.60%	6.10%	4.71%	1.66%	7.79%	5.77%	4.73%	5.75%	10.75%
8.50%	15.00%	16.51%	16.51%	11.79%	8.19%	16.84%	12.46%	14.79%
-2.30%	-6.20%	-0.17%	-2.50%	-3.59%	4.36%	2.26%	-0.26%	-7.61%
11.50%	21.90%	21.42%	0.80%	13.37%	15.48%	20.51%	4.41%	28.31%
7.44%	8.36%		8.20%	23.48%	-1.87%	17.18%	10.16%
8.24%	15.12%		17.51%	17.46%	12.06%	11.38%	5.09%
-4.78%	-10.86%		-30.80%	38.00%	1.03%	-9.66%	-5.45%
11.70%	16.77%		10.01%	12.28%	29.00%	10.12%	10.03%
11.88%	16.83%		14.31%	13.97%	23.72%	25.49%	10.10%
5.56%	10.21%	7.97%	7.03%	9.36%	11.38%	12.70%	6.43%	8.43%
5.42%	7.79%	3.99%	2.56%	12.93%	9.35%	9.41%	5.09%	4.19%
5.19%	6.96%		0.45%	15.71%	12.56%	6.82%	3.78%
7.71%	10.91%		7.94%	8.57%	16.86%	11.38%	6.60%

Year	TSP Coach
Initial	$10,000
2005	$11,038
2006	$13,580
2007	$14,970
2008	$13,638
2009	$15,873
2010	$19,817
2011	$19,438
2012	$24,703
2013	$33,274
2014	$37,429
2015	$37,953
2016	$39,931
2017	$47,015
2018	$50,039
2019	$64,611
2020	$88,760
2021	$104,322
2022	$88,249
2023	$107,824
2024	$122,083
CAGR	13.33%
CAGR L10Y	12.39%
CAGR L5Y	6.58%
CAGR L3Y	11.42%
As of: 01/01/2025

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Inflation Still Impacting the Market - March Allocation

Last 12 month TSP returns

TSP fund quotes

Allocation history

TSP X1^	TSP X2^	TSP Z*	TSP V*	TSP U*	TSP T*	TSP R*^	TSP Q	TSP P*
$10,000	$10,000	$10,000				$10,000	$10,000	$10,000
$10,460	$11,140	$11,920		$11,038	$11,038	$11,665	$10,414	$10,755
$11,429	$13,452	$13,478		$12,040	$13,945	$13,909	$11,850	$12,389
$11,759	$13,585	$14,474	$14,970	$12,483	$16,739	$15,913	$12,602	$13,011
$10,892	$11,343	$13,121	$13,942	$11,009	$15,533	$17,339	$12,785	$12,668
$11,679	$13,416	$15,918	$16,662	$11,358	$16,382	$23,472	$14,009	$15,687
$12,405	$16,003	$17,973	$21,324	$11,631	$21,963	$26,881	$15,437	$19,174
$12,788	$15,741	$18,625	$22,923	$11,974	$19,528	$28,111	$15,694	$21,953
$13,585	$17,480	$17,509	$25,733	$13,078	$23,376	$27,247	$16,563	$25,457
$14,834	$20,441	$19,445	$29,493	$15,274	$29,873	$31,189	$18,981	$30,632
$15,248	$21,313	$23,605	$33,101	$16,604	$33,273	$35,511	$20,493	$31,327
$15,281	$29,689	$26,431	$36,813	$16,829	$35,702	$38,941	$18,924	$31,450
$15,681	$31,350	$27,416	$37,225	$17,941	$37,583	$40,523	$19,863	$34,732
$16,864	$35,902	$31,683	$43,170	$19,857	$40,482	$47,088	$22,189	$39,770
$16,326	$33,526	$31,370	$41,891	$18,945	$42,068	$47,893	$21,982	$36,644
$18,054	$40,719	$37,830	$42,026	$21,279	$48,402	$57,456	$22,803
$19,246	$43,971		$45,272	$26,076	$47,317	$67,068	$24,971
$20,682	$50,471		$52,999	$30,430	$52,845	$74,440	$26,093
$19,543	$44,839		$36,476	$41,795	$53,210	$66,990	$24,521
$21,681	$52,207		$39,927	$46,728	$68,462	$73,510	$26,832
$24,106	$60,845		$45,440	$53,057	$84,522	$91,988	$29,393
4.50%	9.45%		6.36%	8.17%	10.71%	11.73%	5.54%
4.66%	7.44%		2.13%	12.17%	9.00%	8.98%	4.50%
4.61%	6.71%		0.07%	15.27%	12.30%	6.52%	3.31%
7.24%	10.71%		7.60%	8.28%	16.68%	11.15%	6.23%